# Fixture Likelihoods

Fixture Likelihoods are weighted probabilities of specific games being played across different gameweeks, allowing users to handle uncertain postponements, double gameweeks, and blank gameweeks.

# How It Works

Probabilistic handling: Assign likelihood percentages to uncertain fixtures
Expert consensus: Default settings reflect community opinion, not certainties
User customisation: Adjust probabilities based on your own assessment
Impact on projections: Player EV scales proportionally with fixture likelihood

Note

This is one of the most challenging aspects of FPL planning due to the unpredictable nature of fixture rescheduling. Probabilities can change rapidly based on external factors.

# Best Use Cases

Blank/Double gameweek planning: Model different scenarios for chip usage
Transfer timing: Account for potential fixture postponements
Risk management: Understand downside if fixtures don't materialise