# Massive Data Model

The Massive Data Model is the site's premium projection system, combining traditional statistical methods and machine learning techniques with extensive feature-rich datasets to project player Expected Value (EV) across future gameweeks.


# What It Projects

Expected Value (EV)
Projected FPL points considering goals, assists, clean sheets, cards, bonus points, and all other point scoring events weighted by their respective probability.
Extended Horizon
Projects up to 14 gameweeks ahead, enabling long-term planning and strategic decision-making.

# Methodology

Data Sources
Integrates historical performance data, market odds, tactical analysis, and more.
Contextual Modeling
Accounts for team strength & style, player roles, tactical changes, and temporary factors like penalty takers/rotation, as well of course as data recency.
Validated Approach
Research-backed modeling that outperforms market-based predictions (see Further Reading).
Constant Development
Continuously developed with annual re-evaluation and upgrades.

# Update Frequency

Hourly Refreshes
Market data, news feeds, xMins, background sims and projections update hourly throughout the day.
Post-Match Integration
Performance data is processed overnight following fixtures.
Pre-Deadline Updates
Press conference information/late team news validated and incorporated before each gameweek deadline.

# Further Reading

Massive Data: A Goalscoring Model More Predictive Than Bookmakers Odds
../../../articles/massive-data/
Ultimate Truth: How FPL Models Perform Relative to a "Perfect" Model
../../../articles/ultimate-truth/